Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Chief financial officers' pessimism about economy grows

The latest CFO survey from Duke University and CFO magazine finds little positive feeling as executives look ahead to the last quarter of the year. Even cuts in interest rates would likely have little effect, CFOs say. The "Optimism Index" Of U.S. CFOs fell to 52 from 56 in the summer quarter, based on a scale of 0-100. In the spring, the index was 59.

Twice the percentage of CFOs (44 percent) have "become more pessimistic" than are more optimistic, the survey found. That's not good news, warned one of the executives overseeing the survey. As a result, little improvement is expected on the jobs front.

CFOs expect to increase hiring by 1.5 percent and capital spending by 3.7 percent while earnings are forecast to grow by 6 percent. All those percentages fell from the previous quarter. “The drop in optimism is worrisome for the U.S. because historically it foretells slower economic activity over the next year,” said Kate O’Sullivan, editorial director at CFO Magazine. “Optimism is also falling in Asia and Europe.” Read more >>

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