This is happening despite record low interest rates that should allow companies to refinance and reduce their interest costs. While most companies continue to be in good health, investors are paying close attention to the:
•Increasing default rate. The past 12 months, 2.6% of companies with the lowest credit ratings have defaulted. That's up from 2.5% in March yet still well below the long-term average of 4.5%.
But given the rash of defaults, S&P predicts the default rate will rise to 3.6% by March. If problems persist in Europe and China, S&P says, defaults could jump to 5.5%.
•Danger of more downgrades. During the second quarter, 87 U.S. companies saw their credit ratings lowered, while 78 were upgraded. Most of the strain is being felt by media and entertainment companies, which accounted for 17 of the downgrades.
•Increased profit strain. For the first time in years, companies are facing the prospect of shrinking profits, says Bonnie Baha of DoubleLine. Earnings are expected to contract 0.9% in the second quarter, marking the lowest growth rate since the third quarter of 2009, says S&P Capital IQ. Read more >>
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