This is the first consecutive monthly drop in 14 months and the largest miss vs expectations on record. Printing at 76.8 (against an expectation of 82.0), ths is the lowest in 5 months and points to the picture we have been painting of a consumer increasingly affected by rising rates and saoring gas prices amid stagnant incomes.
As Citi notes below, this is the exact same pattern we have seen play out in the last 2 cycles and suggest significant downside risk to US equities. The economic outlook sub-index collapsed to its lowest since January. Read more >>