Map of Collapsed U.S. 2010

The prediction of the United States collapse in 2010 was made in 1998 by the Russian academic Igor Panarin. The prediction received substantial media attention since the 2008 financial crisis and has been widely criticized since.

In the summer of 1998, based on classified data about the state of the United States economy and its society supplied to him by fellow FAPSI analysts, Igor Panarin forecast the probable disintegration of the United States into six parts in 2010 (at the end of June – start of July 2010, as he specified on 10 December 2008), following a civil war triggered by mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation. He forecast financial and demographic changes provoking a political crisis in which wealthier states will withhold funds from the federal government, effectively seceding from the Union, leading to social unrest, civil war, national division, and intervention of foreign powers.

Name of the new formation	Country or union to join or be under influence of	States and/or regions of the current USA comprised
Californian Republic	China	California, Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Arizona, Utah, Idaho
Texas Republic	Mexico	Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida
Atlantic America	European Union	Northeast (including all BosWash states and West Virginia) + Kentucky, Tennessee, North & South Carolina
Central North American Republic	Canada	Midwest + Montana, Wyoming, Colorado
Alaska	Russia	Alaska
Hawaii	Japan	Hawaii

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