Showing posts with label Swiss franc. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Swiss franc. Show all posts

Saturday, August 20, 2011

Gold is fast becoming the World's defacto reserve currency

Comment of the day by davefairtex

USD is at 74, and during this whole crisis has moved very little. By comparison to the moves made in the panic of 2008, I stand by my comment.

USD moved from 71 to 90 in sep-oct 2008.
USD moved from 76 to 87 in jan-may 2010.
USD unchanged 74 to 74 in aug 2011.

Its possible that China has moved dollars to euros, and the the euro banks have moved from euros into dollars, keeping the flows neutral. It is also possible the Fed is doing monstrously large secret currency deals. But overall, no. No net flow into USD from other currencies, or else the USD would have appreciated vs. that currency. What evidence we have says - USD is not a safe haven at the moment. And gold is.

And we have to accept this is a new behavior. Just last year, things were quite different. Same thing with gold - its behaving differently. Last time around, gold got thrown under the bus. This time, new highs every week.

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Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Iceland Lenders May Lose $4.3 Billion on Court Ruling

Omar R. Valdimarsson
Iceland’s lenders may lose as much as $4.3 billion, equivalent to a third of the economy, after a court last month found that some foreign loans were illegal, said Finance Minister Steingrimur J. Sigfusson.

“This is the largest single loan category of the banks, with a value of between 800 billion kronur and 900 billion kronur ($7.2 billion),” Sigfusson said today. “If the capital on all these loans is written down by 40 percent to 60 percent, we’re talking about enormous amounts.”

The Supreme Court ruled June 16 that loans indexed to foreign-currency rates were illegal in three cases involving private car loans and a corporate property loan. The decisions may mean that borrowers with such loans are only obliged to repay the principal in kronur, making the lenders liable for currency losses on about $28 billion in debt after a third of the krona’s value against the Japanese yen and Swiss franc was erased since September 2008.

There’s a “considerable chance” that the ruling will be applied to many foreign-currency indexed loans issued by Icelandic banks, Sigfusson told radio station Bylgjan yesterday. “I’m referring to this not only applying to car loans, but also mortgages, and a considerable amount of loans to companies and other parties.”More...

Friday, June 11, 2010

Welcome to the Fake, Jobless Economic Recovery

CHAOS!!Image via Wikipedia

In the Summer of 2010
Ron Holland
Are you ready for interesting times and an exodus from the United States? A possibly apocryphal ancient Chinese curse goes "May you live in interesting times." Those words may derive from an authentic Chinese proverb: "It is better to be a dog in a peaceful time than be a man in chaos."

Either way, the message is easy to understand for anyone living in the summer of 2010. As I look over at Lucky, my golden retriever whose only concerns are when do we eat and when do we go back in the ocean to play ball, I can see the advantages of being a dog. But as a man I know it is time to defend my freedom and secure my wealth for myself and for my posterity.

The U.S. is wandering through a fake recovery, an expanding sovereign debt crisis, a stock market downturn and a double-dip real estate collapse. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc is moving to historic highs to the euro. And what does the conventional press want to tell us about? The "strong" dollar, who's to blame for the oil disaster, the newest episodes in a host of foreign and domestic political soap operas and – a fresh diversion – which politicians are telling the biggest lies about their military records.

Welcome to the Fake, Jobless Economic Recovery

Last Friday, The Feds announced that the U.S. economy has added 431,000 jobs. The boldest spokespersons tried to announce this as good news, but the details revealed that only 40,000 of the total are private-sector jobs – the kind that produce things people want and are willing to pay for. The rest are little more than assignments in make-work projects designed to buy votes and beef-up the statistics on a fake recovery.

The American financial press asks hourly, "Will the euro survive as a currency?" And every time, the question is a prelude to "Again the dollar's strength indicates it remains the world's safe-haven reserve currency." My response is, "Oh, really?" This is just more lies from Washington and Wall Street that you believe at your peril.

"Lies, damnable lies and statistics." It's an expression attributed to Benjamin Disraeli, one of my favorite British historical figures. He was prime minister twice, but in his early years he had been a stock promoter. When a boom in South American mining stocks collapsed in 1825, he lost everything, much as a later Prime Minister, Winston Churchill, did in 1929. Both Disraeli and Churchill turned to writing to repair their finances (Disraeli also married a rich widow many years his senior). Again like Churchill, Disraeli went into politics with success, and both secured loans from the Rothschild banks.

Interesting to some, though perhaps not to others. But British history over the last century is a worthwhile topic for all of us. It's a model of what happens when an empire reaches its pinnacle and then slides into decline. It's a model of what is happening to America today.

The Swiss Franc Benefits

As I've written before, the Swiss National Bank tries to keep the franc aligned with the euro, in order to protect cross-border financial relationships and trade. If the dollar goes down, usually the euro and Swiss franc both go up. If the dollar goes up, both the euro and Swiss franc go down, although not always at the same rate.

Just days ago the Swiss franc hit an all-time high verses the euro, so although both have lost some value relative to the dollar, the franc's retreat is more modest. The real challenge for the Swiss National Bank is to limit the franc's appreciation when billions of investor euros are flooding into Switzerland and bidding for the local currency. Contrary to what you'll read in the American financial press, the smart money is moving into Switzerland in big volume.

Exodus Then & Now

The establishment media have been covering the challenges to Israel's Gaza blockade with references to the excellent 1960 epic/propaganda film, Exodus. There are quite a few similarities between the British blockade of Palestine in 1947 and what Israel is doing now, including forced boarding in international waters, resistance by ship passengers, the death of Americans, a widely published film record of events and complaints of excessive use of force.

If it's presented artfully, overreaction by those in power can feed public support for the target and sometimes allows the weaker party to prevail. The image of Gandhi and his followers being imprisoned by the British for harvesting salt from the ocean supported the formation of the state of India. The story of the SS Exodus and the British Navy sending Holocaust survivors back to Germany helped bring about the establishment of Israel. Pictures of "Bull" Connor attacking civil rights protestors in Birmingham, Alabama led to the Civil Rights Act of 1964. Whether the Palestinians and their allies will succeed in playing the victim card, time will tell.

The British resistance to the 1947 Exodus demonstrated how incompetent and cruel a collapsing empire can be. While this might be news to the general public, it isn't news to freedom-loving entrepreneurs who are making plans to avoid the turmoil, taxes and terror coming from our desperate politicians in Washington.

Hence the exodus from America of productive, innovative Americans acting to get themselves and their wealth out before it is too late. This outflow of talent and wealth doesn't get much coverage in the establishment news media.

The media are too busy with the pushing and shoving in the Middle East, the sovereign debt problems in Europe, the volatility of the U.S. markets and the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Those things are important (the oil trail from the Gulf may eventually run past my home in the U.S., which is on a coastal island). But an exodus from the Land of Immigrants is a far bigger story. Saving what is left of the American Dream calls for you to get at least your wealth outside the disaster zone of Washington incompetence, as one remarkable American is now doing. More...